[ABFM] Longterm state budget forecasts

[G. Frederick Thompson]

Dear David,

I think there is a better approach to what you are trying to do, see:

<http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=1077555>

best, Fred
-- 
Fred Thompson
Director, Center for Governance and
    Public Policy Research
Grace and Elmer Goudy Professor of
     Public Management and Policy
Atkinson Graduate School of Management,
Willamette University,
900 State Street, Salem OR 97301 USA
http://www.willamette.edu/~fthompso/

http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/cf_dev/AbsByAuth.cfm?per_id=249171

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On Sun, March 9, 2008 1:49 pm, David Merriman wrote:
> Dear list:
> A group of in Illinois have been discussing the possibility of
> developing a model to generate long-term forecasts of the state budget.
> This would allow us to vary certain drivers (demographic and economic
> forecasts) and policies (taxing and spending policies) to generate
> changes in fiscal forecasts.  This would be some what similar to the
> models maintained by the US CBO and (we believe) some other
> organizations for the federal budget.
>
> Our question:
> Do you know of other examples of this sort of model being built at a
> subnational level in the US?  If so can you please let me know where to
> look and who to talk with.?
>
> Thanks for any help in this regard.
>
> --
> David Merriman
> Institute of Government and Public Affairs
> University of Illinois
> 815 W. Van Buren Street, Suite 525
> Chicago, IL 60607MC-191
> Phone: (312) 996-1381
> Fax: (312) 996-1404
>
> Graduate Program in Public Administration
> College of Urban Planning and Public Affairs
> University of Illinois at Chicago
> Room 138
> 412 S. Peoria Street
> Chicago, IL 60607MC-278
> Phone: (312) 355-2672
> Fax: (312) 996-8804
> Email  dmerrim at uic.edu
>
>
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