[ABFM] Longterm state budget forecasts

Beecher, Ines (OCA) beecher at miamidade.gov
Mon Mar 10 11:28:00 EDT 2008


When you do, please pass the information along-it would be so
appreciated.

When I saw the U.S. CBO model, I asked our Social and Economic
Development Council to take a look at the long-term forecast model to
see if we could utilize it, but I did not get a lot of enthusiasm from
them.

Thanks.

-----Original Message-----
From: abfm-bounces at aspaonline.org [mailto:abfm-bounces at aspaonline.org]
On Behalf Of David Merriman
Sent: Sunday, March 09, 2008 4:49 PM
To: ABFM_list
Subject: [ABFM] Longterm state budget forecasts

Dear list:
A group of in Illinois have been discussing the possibility of 
developing a model to generate long-term forecasts of the state budget. 
This would allow us to vary certain drivers (demographic and economic 
forecasts) and policies (taxing and spending policies) to generate 
changes in fiscal forecasts.  This would be some what similar to the 
models maintained by the US CBO and (we believe) some other 
organizations for the federal budget. 

Our question:
Do you know of other examples of this sort of model being built at a 
subnational level in the US?  If so can you please let me know where to 
look and who to talk with.? 

Thanks for any help in this regard.

-- 
David Merriman
Institute of Government and Public Affairs
University of Illinois
815 W. Van Buren Street, Suite 525
Chicago, IL 60607MC-191
Phone: (312) 996-1381
Fax: (312) 996-1404
 
Graduate Program in Public Administration 
College of Urban Planning and Public Affairs
University of Illinois at Chicago
Room 138
412 S. Peoria Street
Chicago, IL 60607MC-278
Phone: (312) 355-2672
Fax: (312) 996-8804
Email  dmerrim at uic.edu  


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